Take-Two earnings guidance ‘means no GTA 6 before April 2025’, analysts say

Grand Theft Auto 6 looks set to be released after March 2025, based on publisher Take-Two’s latest earnings guidance.

That’s according to Wedbush Securities analysts Nick McKay and Michael Pachter, who said on Friday that the game appears to have slipped out of its once anticipated early 2025 release window.

On Thursday, Rockstar owner Take-Two downwardly revised its guidance for its next fiscal year (FY25), which runs from this April to March 2025.

In a research note titled ‘$7 Billion Means No GTA in FY:25’, the analysts wrote: “We can only surmise that GTA VI has slipped out of FY:25, in-line with our earlier expectation.”

“Management had said that next year’s bookings number will be just over $7 billion, a far cry from its initial comments of $8 billion in May, and its first revision of just under $8 billion in November,” they added.

“The drop makes us almost certain that GTA VI will not be releasing next FY. With that said, we have no reason to believe the game has slipped out of calendar 2025, but it is reasonable to assume that it will launch later in the year.”

Rockstar released the first official trailer for the game in December, which racked up over 90 million views in just 24 hours.

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Grand Theft Auto publisher says ‘groundbreaking games’ will drive a big jump in its sales next fiscal year

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As well as a 2025 release date for PS5 and Xbox Series X/S, it confirmed that the game will partly take place in Vice City – a fictional Miami – and star a pair of protagonists, one of whom, in a first for the series, is a women.

On Thursday, Take-Two said Grand Theft Auto 5 has shipped over 195 million units since its release in 2013. The franchise has shipped over 420 million units since launching in 1997.